Aucas 8-0 Delfin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 11 Nov 2025

Aucas
8-0 HT 4-0
Delfin
📅11/11/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.37
Draw
17%
4.49
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
4%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
69%
-3.0pp
17%
Draw
19%
-1.7pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+4.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.3pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aucas EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Delfin EU Bookmakers 15%
-3% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +7%
1.83/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.55
+0% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +5%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
378 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 73%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.5
22.5 Crosses 11.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aucas
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Delfin
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.25 xG 0.88
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
313 Passes 245
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.07.2025 Aucas Aucas 2-1 HT 2-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
05.04.2025 Delfin Delfin 1-1 HT 1-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
24.11.2024 Aucas Aucas 2-0 HT 1-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
26.05.2024 Delfin Delfin 2-0 HT 1-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
26.11.2023 Aucas Aucas 0-0 HT 0-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
11.06.2023 Delfin Delfin 2-0 HT 1-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aucas
8-0
AWAY Delfin
3.74 xG 0.37
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 7
11 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
359 Passes 332
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 7
10 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aucas vs Delfin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aucas swept aside Delfin 8-0. Half-time: 4-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aucas as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 8-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Aucas had 51% of the ball to Delfin's 49%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 3.74 to 0.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Aucas and 1.00 for Delfin.

What was the final score of Aucas vs Delfin?

Aucas 8-0 Delfin in the Ecuador - Premier on 11/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aucas vs Delfin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aucas win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Aucas 66%, draw 17%, Delfin 17%. The final score 8-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aucas), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aucas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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