Al Urooba 1-5 Al Nasr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 23 Aug 2024

Al Urooba
1-5 HT 0-2
Al Nasr
📅23/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
UAE - League – 2025/2026

Al Urooba vs Al Nasr Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.87
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
45%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.38
Over 2.5
50%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.56
No
52%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
5.03
2-3 Goals
36%
1.96
4-5 Goals
23%
2.75
6+ Goals
11%
7.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.03 — our 30% vs market 15.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
22%
+9.6pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.6pp
45%
Away Win
55%
-10.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.5pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Urooba v Al Nasr — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Urooba EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nasr EU Bookmakers 60%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -13%
1.21/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/0.98
-27% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -18%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 84%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
19.3 Crosses 20.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Al Urooba vs Al Nasr Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Urooba
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Al Nasr
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.49 xG 1.66
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 9
260 Passes 438
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.08.2024 Al Urooba Al Urooba 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAELK
11.02.2022 Al Urooba Al Urooba 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
26.08.2021 Al Nasr Al Nasr 5-0 HT 3-0 Al Urooba Al Urooba BAE
POST-MATCH Al Urooba vs Al Nasr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nasr ran out comfortable winners over Al Urooba 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Nasr as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Nasr led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Al Urooba and 2.00 for Al Nasr.

What was the final score of Al Urooba vs Al Nasr?

Al Urooba 1-5 Al Nasr in the UAE - League on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Urooba vs Al Nasr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nasr win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Urooba 32%, draw 23%, Al Nasr 45%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nasr) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Nasr) ✗ BTTS No
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