Al Wahda 1-0 Ajman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
33%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.92
4-5 Goals
25%
2.84
6+ Goals
12%
7.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
57%
-14.7pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.8pp
33%
Away Win
21%
+12.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.5pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wahda EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajman EU Bookmakers 24%
-7% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +14%
1.54/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.49
+9% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
409 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
21.2 Crosses 13.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wahda
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ajman
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.14 xG 1.53
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
347 Passes 313
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.04.2024 Al Wahda Al Wahda 1-2 HT 1-0 Ajman Ajman BAE
04.11.2023 Ajman Ajman 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
06.05.2023 Ajman Ajman 2-3 HT 1-2 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
25.12.2022 Al Wahda Al Wahda 0-1 HT 0-0 Ajman Ajman BAE
10.05.2022 Ajman Ajman 2-2 HT 0-0 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
21.12.2021 Al Wahda Al Wahda 1-0 HT 0-0 Ajman Ajman BAECK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wahda
1-0
AWAY Ajman
0.28 xG 1.75
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 7
362 Passes 281
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Wahda vs Ajman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wahda squeezed past Ajman 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Wahda as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Wahda had 55% of the ball to Ajman's 45%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.28 to 1.75 — on chances, Ajman could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Wahda had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Wahda and 1.17 for Ajman.

What was the final score of Al Wahda vs Ajman?

Al Wahda 1-0 Ajman in the UAE - League on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wahda vs Ajman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Wahda win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Wahda 42%, draw 25%, Ajman 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Wahda) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Wahda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BAE More UAE - League
23 Aug 2024
17:00 Al Urooba vs Al Nasr Analysis →
19:30 Al Ittihad Kalba vs Al Wasl Dubai Analysis →