Leevon / PPK 1-1 Ogre United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.33
Over 2.5
50%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-8.4pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.0pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+3.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
39%
+11.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
61%
-11.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.6pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leevon / PPK EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Ogre United EU Bookmakers 26%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.99/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/3.00
+33% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +143% / -28%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
389 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leevon / PPK
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ogre United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
28.04.2024 Ogre United Ogre United 0-1 Leevon / PPK Leevon / PPK LET1
POST-MATCH Leevon / PPK vs Ogre United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leevon / PPK and Ogre United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Leevon / PPK at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Leevon / PPK vs Ogre United?

Leevon / PPK 1-1 Ogre United in the Latvia - 1st Division on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leevon / PPK vs Ogre United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leevon / PPK win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Leevon / PPK 47%, draw 27%, Ogre United 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leevon / PPK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leevon / PPK) ✓ BTTS Yes
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