Valmiera II 2-0 Rezekne / BJSS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.29
Draw
17%
5.15
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Valmiera II win — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
73%
-7.7pp
17%
Draw
16%
+0.5pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valmiera II EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Rezekne / BJSS EU Bookmakers 14%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.28/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/3.51
-53% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -30%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
407 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valmiera II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Rezekne / BJSS
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
26.04.2024 Rezekne / BJSS Rezekne / BJSS 1-0 HT 1-0 Valmiera II Valmiera II LET1
27.08.2023 Valmiera II Valmiera II 3-1 HT 1-0 Rezekne / BJSS Rezekne / BJSS LET1
POST-MATCH Valmiera II vs Rezekne / BJSS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valmiera II saw off Rezekne / BJSS 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Valmiera II as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Valmiera II and 1.00 for Rezekne / BJSS.

What was the final score of Valmiera II vs Rezekne / BJSS?

Valmiera II 2-0 Rezekne / BJSS in the Latvia - 1st Division on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valmiera II vs Rezekne / BJSS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valmiera II win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Valmiera II 65%, draw 17%, Rezekne / BJSS 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valmiera II), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valmiera II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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