Ogre United 0-1 Leevon / PPK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 28 Apr 2024

Ogre United
0-1
Leevon / PPK
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Latvia - 1st Division – 2024

Ogre United vs Leevon / PPK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
50%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.43
Over 2.5
57%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.53
No
53%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
12%
1/X
3%
X/1
3%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
35%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
-1.1pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.9pp
50%
Away Win
53%
-2.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
61%
-14.4pp
53%
BTTS No
39%
+14.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ogre United v Leevon / PPK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ogre United EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Leevon / PPK EU Bookmakers 57%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-53% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
247 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Ogre United vs Leevon / PPK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leevon / PPK edged past Ogre United 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Leevon / PPK as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Ogre United vs Leevon / PPK?

Ogre United 0-1 Leevon / PPK in the Latvia - 1st Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ogre United vs Leevon / PPK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leevon / PPK win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ogre United 24%, draw 26%, Leevon / PPK 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leevon / PPK), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leevon / PPK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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