Marupe 1-2 Rigas FS II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 28 Apr 2024

Marupe
1-2 HT 0-1
Rigas FS II
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Latvia - 1st Division – 2024

Marupe vs Rigas FS II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
46%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
20%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-0.5pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.0pp
46%
Away Win
50%
-4.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.1pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Marupe v Rigas FS II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marupe EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Rigas FS II EU Bookmakers 55%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.29/2.29
-100% / +102% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -68%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
316 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Marupe vs Rigas FS II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas FS II edged past Marupe 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rigas FS II as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Marupe vs Rigas FS II?

Marupe 1-2 Rigas FS II in the Latvia - 1st Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marupe vs Rigas FS II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rigas FS II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Marupe 26%, draw 28%, Rigas FS II 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas FS II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rigas FS II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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