Widzew Lodz 3-2 Radomiak Radom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 23 Aug 2024

Widzew Lodz
3-2 HT 2-1
Radomiak Radom
📅23/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Widzew Lodz vs Radomiak Radom Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.23
6+ Goals
11%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.77 — our 27% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.04
1/2
8%
31.0
1/X
5%
12.95
X/1
12%
4.96
X/2
11%
6.46
X/X
14%
4.96
2/1
9%
24.85
2/2
11%
4.39
2/X
11%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.6pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.4pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.4pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Widzew Lodz v Radomiak Radom — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Widzew Lodz EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Radomiak Radom EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +14%
1.28/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.37
-17% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
25.3 Crosses 18.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6

Widzew Lodz vs Radomiak Radom Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Widzew Lodz
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Radomiak Radom
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.51 xG 1.57
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
335 Passes 281
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 19
27 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.05.2024 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 1-3 HT 1-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
02.12.2023 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 0-3 HT 0-2 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
21.05.2023 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 3-1 HT 2-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
06.11.2022 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-3 HT 0-2 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
26.02.2021 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-1 HT 0-1 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL1
29.08.2020 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 4-1 HT 0-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL1

Widzew Lodz 3-2 Radomiak Radom — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Widzew Lodz
3-2
AWAY Radomiak Radom
3.09 xG 0.35
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
324 Passes 287
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 25
23 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Widzew Lodz vs Radomiak Radom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Widzew Lodz squeezed past Radomiak Radom 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Widzew Lodz found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Widzew Lodz had 52% of the ball to Radomiak Radom's 48%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 3.09 to 0.35 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Widzew Lodz's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Radomiak Radom led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Widzew Lodz and 2.50 for Radomiak Radom.

What was the final score of Widzew Lodz vs Radomiak Radom?

Widzew Lodz 3-2 Radomiak Radom in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Widzew Lodz vs Radomiak Radom?

Before kick-off our model rated a Widzew Lodz win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Widzew Lodz 40%, draw 30%, Radomiak Radom 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Widzew Lodz), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Widzew Lodz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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