Aluminij 1-2 Tabor Sezana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.51
Over 2.5
45%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.68
No
59%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-11.1pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.6pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
36%
+18.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
64%
-18.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
56%
-14.2pp
59%
BTTS No
44%
+14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aluminij EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Tabor Sezana EU Bookmakers 18%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +70% / +70%
1.78/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.71/0.30
+4% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +150%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
450 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aluminij
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Tabor Sezana
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.05.2022 Aluminij Aluminij 2-2 HT 1-1 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana SLVN
13.03.2022 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana 1-1 HT 0-1 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
27.11.2021 Aluminij Aluminij 3-2 HT 2-2 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana SLVN
19.09.2021 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana 4-0 HT 1-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
25.04.2021 Aluminij Aluminij 0-2 HT 0-2 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana SLVN
14.02.2021 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana 1-1 HT 0-1 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aluminij
1-2
AWAY Tabor Sezana
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aluminij vs Tabor Sezana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tabor Sezana nicked a narrow win over Aluminij 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Aluminij at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aluminij had 47% of the ball to Tabor Sezana's 53%, shots finished 13-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tabor Sezana led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aluminij and 2.00 for Tabor Sezana.

What was the final score of Aluminij vs Tabor Sezana?

Aluminij 1-2 Tabor Sezana in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aluminij vs Tabor Sezana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aluminij win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Aluminij 55%, draw 24%, Tabor Sezana 20%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aluminij) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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