Beltinci 1-3 Triglav — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.97
Over 2.5
36%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.75
No
59%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
47%
+16.7pp
36%
Over 2.5
53%
-16.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
53%
-12.2pp
59%
BTTS No
47%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beltinci EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Triglav EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.65/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.38
+5% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
410 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beltinci
0W-0D-5L
AWAY Triglav
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
18.11.2023 Triglav Triglav 2-1 HT 0-1 Beltinci Beltinci SLVN2
25.10.2023 Beltinci Beltinci 1-2 HT 0-1 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
03.05.2023 Beltinci Beltinci 1-2 HT 0-2 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
23.10.2022 Triglav Triglav 2-1 HT 1-0 Beltinci Beltinci SLVN2
04.03.2022 Triglav Triglav 2-0 HT 1-0 Beltinci Beltinci SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beltinci
1-3
AWAY Triglav
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Beltinci vs Triglav
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Triglav got the better of Beltinci 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Beltinci at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Beltinci had 55% of the ball to Triglav's 45%, shots finished 9-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Triglav led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Beltinci and 2.00 for Triglav.

What was the final score of Beltinci vs Triglav?

Beltinci 1-3 Triglav in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beltinci vs Triglav?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beltinci win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Beltinci 49%, draw 26%, Triglav 25%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Beltinci) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SLVN2 More Slovenia - 2.SNL
23 Aug 2024
18:30 Gorica vs Bistrica Analysis →
19:00 Aluminij vs Tabor Sezana Analysis →