Gorica 3-1 Bistrica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-11.6pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.3pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.7pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gorica EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Bistrica EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
2.12/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.44
+27% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
396 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gorica
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Bistrica
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 0
30.03.2024 Bistrica Bistrica 1-5 HT 1-2 Gorica Gorica SLVN2
15.09.2023 Gorica Gorica 1-0 HT 0-0 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gorica
3-1
AWAY Bistrica
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gorica vs Bistrica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gorica saw off Bistrica 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gorica as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Gorica had 59% of the ball to Bistrica's 41%, shots finished 12-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gorica had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Gorica and 0.50 for Bistrica.

What was the final score of Gorica vs Bistrica?

Gorica 3-1 Bistrica in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gorica vs Bistrica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Gorica 49%, draw 25%, Bistrica 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gorica), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gorica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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