Al-Qadsiah 3-0 Al Fateh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
33%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.35
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
27%
2.97
6+ Goals
10%
8.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
58%
-12.8pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.2pp
33%
Away Win
18%
+14.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.0pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al-Qadsiah EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 21%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.57
-49% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
408 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
Crosses 17.4
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al-Qadsiah
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Al Fateh
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.72 xG 1.90
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
302 Passes 313
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2021 Al Fateh Al Fateh 3-0 HT 1-0 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
19.01.2021 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
27.01.2019 Al Fateh Al Fateh 2-0 HT 1-0 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
31.08.2018 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
29.01.2018 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 1-4 HT 0-3 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
13.10.2017 Al Fateh Al Fateh 2-1 HT 0-0 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al-Qadsiah
3-0
AWAY Al Fateh
2.14 xG 0.11
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
357 Passes 361
88% Pass Accuracy 88%
25 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al-Qadsiah vs Al Fateh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al-Qadsiah ran out comfortable winners over Al Fateh 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al-Qadsiah as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Al-Qadsiah had 50% of the ball to Al Fateh's 50%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 2.14 to 0.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Fateh led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Al-Qadsiah and 2.00 for Al Fateh.

What was the final score of Al-Qadsiah vs Al Fateh?

Al-Qadsiah 3-0 Al Fateh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al-Qadsiah vs Al Fateh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al-Qadsiah win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al-Qadsiah 45%, draw 22%, Al Fateh 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al-Qadsiah), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al-Qadsiah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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