Damac FC 0-1 Al Khaleej — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.02
Draw
35%
3.28
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.71
Over 2.5
33%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.86
2-3 Goals
46%
1.77
4-5 Goals
11%
4.09
6+ Goals
9%
19.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 34% vs market 29.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
19%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
46%
-8.7pp
35%
Draw
27%
+7.5pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.2pp
67%
Under 2.5
55%
+12.3pp
33%
Over 2.5
45%
-12.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.8pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Damac FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Khaleej EU Bookmakers 31%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +23%
1.33/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.17
-12% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +32%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
18.4 Crosses 16.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Damac FC
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Khaleej
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.99 xG 0.72
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
438 Passes 302
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.03.2024 Damac FC Damac FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
30.10.2023 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 1-1 HT 1-1 Damac FC Damac FC SAKK
30.09.2023 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 0-2 HT 0-1 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
18.02.2023 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 2-0 HT 2-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
02.09.2022 Damac FC Damac FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Damac FC
0-1
AWAY Al Khaleej
1.72 xG 0.52
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
401 Passes 277
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 7
22 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Damac FC vs Al Khaleej
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Khaleej edged past Damac FC 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 35% / 28%) promised a tight game; Al Khaleej found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Damac FC had 57% of the ball to Al Khaleej's 43%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 1.72 to 0.52 — on chances, Damac FC could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Damac FC and 1.00 for Al Khaleej.

What was the final score of Damac FC vs Al Khaleej?

Damac FC 0-1 Al Khaleej in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Damac FC vs Al Khaleej?

Before kick-off our model rated a Damac FC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Damac FC 37%, draw 35%, Al Khaleej 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Damac FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Damac FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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