Al Ahli Jeddah 2-0 Al Orubah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.25
Draw
23%
5.71
Away
20%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.98
Over 2.5
54%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
7.37
2-3 Goals
40%
2.23
4-5 Goals
25%
2.44
6+ Goals
11%
4.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
76%
-18.4pp
23%
Draw
15%
+8.5pp
19%
Away Win
10%
+9.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
30%
+15.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
70%
-15.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Orubah EU Bookmakers 12%
-5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.94/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/2.13
-17% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +5%
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
459 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 74%
31.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.7 Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Orubah
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
348 Passes 154
80% Pass Accuracy 64%
48 Box Touches 3
18 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
13.02.2023 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Orubah Al Orubah SUUD1
11.09.2022 Al Orubah Al Orubah 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD1
21.01.2018 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 6-0 HT 2-0 Al Orubah Al Orubah SAKK
11.04.2015 Al Orubah Al Orubah 1-3 HT 1-1 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
30.10.2014 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Orubah Al Orubah SUUD
17.03.2014 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 3-0 HT 0-0 Al Orubah Al Orubah SAKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
2-0
AWAY Al Orubah
3.09 xG 0.57
68% Ball Possession 32%
24 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
495 Passes 165
90% Pass Accuracy 73%
37 Box Touches 4
22 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Orubah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Jeddah beat Al Orubah 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Ahli Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Al Ahli Jeddah had 68% of the ball to Al Orubah's 32%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 3.09 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli Jeddah had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Al Ahli Jeddah and 0.17 for Al Orubah.

What was the final score of Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Orubah?

Al Ahli Jeddah 2-0 Al Orubah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Orubah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Jeddah 57%, draw 23%, Al Orubah 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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