Slavia Prag 3-1 FK Pardubice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
78%
1.16
Draw
15%
7.13
Away
7%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.96
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.4
No
54%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.42
2-3 Goals
38%
2.1
4-5 Goals
27%
2.35
6+ Goals
14%
4.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
48%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
2%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
2%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
78%
Home Win
82%
-3.9pp
15%
Draw
11%
+3.6pp
7%
Away Win
7%
+0.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
38%
+8.6pp
54%
BTTS No
62%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slavia Prag EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Pardubice EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -4%
2.73/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.72
+20% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +0%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
476 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 75%
41.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
31.9 Crosses 15.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slavia Prag
5W-1D-0L
AWAY FK Pardubice
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
3.50 xG 0.19
62% Ball Possession 38%
24 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
393 Passes 186
82% Pass Accuracy 66%
53 Box Touches 3
36 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.02.2025 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-2 HT 0-0 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
01.09.2024 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 2-0 HT 1-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
29.06.2024 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 1-1 HT 0-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice HAZ
25.02.2024 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 3-0 HT 0-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
16.09.2023 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-1 HT 0-1 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
04.02.2023 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-2 HT 0-1 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slavia Prag
3-1
AWAY FK Pardubice
2.49 xG 0.43
68% Ball Possession 32%
26 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 1
18 Corners 1
413 Passes 178
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
62 Box Touches 7
46 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Slavia Prag vs FK Pardubice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Prag saw off FK Pardubice 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Slavia Prag as the likeliest winner at 78%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Slavia Prag had 68% of the ball to FK Pardubice's 32%, shots finished 26-4, expected goals 2.49 to 0.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slavia Prag had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Slavia Prag and 0.17 for FK Pardubice.

What was the final score of Slavia Prag vs FK Pardubice?

Slavia Prag 3-1 FK Pardubice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slavia Prag vs FK Pardubice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slavia Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 78%, with the full match-result split Slavia Prag 78%, draw 15%, FK Pardubice 7%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slavia Prag), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slavia Prag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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