Teplice 0-1 Jablonec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.09
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.36
6+ Goals
11%
13.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+3.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-2.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.7pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Teplice EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Jablonec EU Bookmakers 49%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.09/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.22
-8% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
281 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
20.9 Crosses 18.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Teplice
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Jablonec
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.15 xG 1.87
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
230 Passes 359
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Teplice Teplice 0-1 HT 0-1 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
02.11.2024 Jablonec Jablonec 3-0 HT 2-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
06.12.2023 Jablonec Jablonec 3-2 HT 2-1 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
06.08.2023 Teplice Teplice 0-0 HT 0-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
28.05.2023 Jablonec Jablonec 0-2 HT 0-1 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
26.02.2023 Jablonec Jablonec 4-1 HT 2-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Teplice
0-1
AWAY Jablonec
0.61 xG 0.77
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
258 Passes 294
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Teplice vs Jablonec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jablonec edged past Teplice 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Jablonec as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Teplice had 48% of the ball to Jablonec's 52%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.61 to 0.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jablonec led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Teplice and 1.83 for Jablonec.

What was the final score of Teplice vs Jablonec?

Teplice 0-1 Jablonec in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Teplice vs Jablonec?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jablonec win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Teplice 32%, draw 27%, Jablonec 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jablonec), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jablonec) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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