Viktoria Plzen 2-1 Karvina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.29
Draw
15%
5.15
Away
14%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.05
2-3 Goals
42%
1.93
4-5 Goals
26%
2.53
6+ Goals
12%
6.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
3%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
73%
-2.4pp
15%
Draw
16%
-1.0pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+3.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.4pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Plzen EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Karvina EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +13%
1.96/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/2.23
+8% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +1%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
33.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
22.0 Crosses 14.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Plzen
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Karvina
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.33 xG 0.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
312 Passes 207
76% Pass Accuracy 69%
35 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
08.12.2024 Karvina Karvina 1-2 HT 1-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
11.08.2024 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 5-0 HT 2-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
06.04.2024 Karvina Karvina 0-0 HT 0-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
29.10.2023 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 0-1 HT 0-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
18.12.2021 Karvina Karvina 0-1 HT 0-1 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
22.08.2021 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 2-0 HT 1-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Plzen
2-1
AWAY Karvina
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Viktoria Plzen vs Karvina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Plzen nicked a narrow win over Karvina 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Viktoria Plzen as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Viktoria Plzen had 62% of the ball to Karvina's 38%, shots finished 18-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Plzen had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Viktoria Plzen and 0.33 for Karvina.

What was the final score of Viktoria Plzen vs Karvina?

Viktoria Plzen 2-1 Karvina in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Plzen vs Karvina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viktoria Plzen win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Plzen 71%, draw 15%, Karvina 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viktoria Plzen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Viktoria Plzen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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