St. Johnstone 3-0 Arbroath — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.43
Draw
17%
4.19
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.0
Over 2.5
57%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.41
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.11
6+ Goals
11%
10.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.7
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
17.5
X/1
22%
3.77
X/2
5%
13.95
X/X
6%
5.99
2/1
14%
22.8
2/2
9%
12.15
2/X
6%
20.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
65%
-0.4pp
17%
Draw
20%
-3.8pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+4.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
46%
-3.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
54%
+3.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Arbroath EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
1.72/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.91
-8% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
404 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.5
Crosses 13.5
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Johnstone
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Arbroath
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
22 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 11
15.08.2021 Arbroath Arbroath 2-2 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKLK
26.08.2009 Arbroath Arbroath 0-6 HT 0-4 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKLK
08.03.2003 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 2-1 HT 1-1 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
01.01.2003 Arbroath Arbroath 2-3 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKCL
09.11.2002 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 2-0 HT 1-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
24.08.2002 Arbroath Arbroath 0-1 HT 0-1 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKCL
POST-MATCH St. Johnstone vs Arbroath
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Johnstone ran out comfortable winners over Arbroath 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had St. Johnstone as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Johnstone had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for St. Johnstone and 0.83 for Arbroath.

What was the final score of St. Johnstone vs Arbroath?

St. Johnstone 3-0 Arbroath in the Scotland - Championship on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Johnstone vs Arbroath?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Johnstone win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split St. Johnstone 65%, draw 17%, Arbroath 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Johnstone), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Johnstone) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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