Ross County 1-3 Partick Thistle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 23 Aug 2025

Ross County
1-3 HT 0-1
Partick Thistle
📅23/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2025/2026

Ross County vs Partick Thistle Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.87
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
3.58
6+ Goals
11%
15.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.74
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.2
X/1
12%
4.58
X/2
8%
7.24
X/X
8%
4.47
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
25.5
2/2
17%
5.56
2/X
6%
14.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 7% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-1.4pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.3pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.9pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ross County v Partick Thistle — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ross County EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Partick Thistle EU Bookmakers 30%
+10% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +0%
2.67/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.75
+78% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
344 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 64%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.8
24.4 Crosses 21.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6

Ross County vs Partick Thistle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ross County
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Partick Thistle
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
237 Passes 310
65% Pass Accuracy 70%
28 Box Touches 44
28 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.07.2025 Ross County Ross County 1-3 HT 0-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKLK
20.01.2024 Ross County Ross County 0-3 HT 0-2 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKK
04.06.2023 Ross County Ross County 3-1 HT 0-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
01.06.2023 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 2-0 HT 2-0 Ross County Ross County İKCL
17.08.2019 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 1-1 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKLK
13.04.2019 Ross County Ross County 0-0 HT 0-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
POST-MATCH Ross County vs Partick Thistle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Partick Thistle beat Ross County 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ross County at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Partick Thistle led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ross County and 1.67 for Partick Thistle.

What was the final score of Ross County vs Partick Thistle?

Ross County 1-3 Partick Thistle in the Scotland - Championship on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ross County vs Partick Thistle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ross County win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ross County 45%, draw 24%, Partick Thistle 31%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ross County) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ross County) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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