Greenock Morton vs Ayr United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Greenock Morton v Ayr United — Team-Based Signals
Greenock Morton vs Ayr United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Greenock Morton and Ayr United shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greenock Morton had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Greenock Morton and 0.67 for Ayr United.
What was the final score of Greenock Morton vs Ayr United?
Greenock Morton 2-2 Ayr United in the Scotland - Championship on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Greenock Morton vs Ayr United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Greenock Morton win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Greenock Morton 39%, draw 26%, Ayr United 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.