Brentford 1-0 Aston Villa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.9
Over
52%
1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.69
No
44%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.22
2-3
43%
1.75
4-5
23%
3.38
6+
10%
13.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.89
1/2
11%
24.95
1/X
11%
13.3
X/1
15%
6.81
X/2
13%
4.88
X/X
7%
4.64
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
18%
2.93
2/X
6%
12.7
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Brentford The Market 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Aston Villa The Market 48%
Great Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.49 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.27
1.44 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.05
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Average Defensevs comparable teams Average
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
239 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 83%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
19.2 Crosses 18.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brentford
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Aston Villa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.34 xG 1.68
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
262 Passes 391
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2025 Brentford Brentford 0-1 HT 0-0 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNP
04.12.2024 Aston Villa Aston Villa 3-1 HT 3-0 Brentford Brentford İNP
06.04.2024 Aston Villa Aston Villa 3-3 HT 1-0 Brentford Brentford İNP
17.12.2023 Brentford Brentford 1-2 HT 1-0 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNP
30.07.2023 Aston Villa Aston Villa 3-3 HT 3-2 Brentford Brentford HAZPL
22.04.2023 Brentford Brentford 1-1 HT 0-0 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brentford
1-0
AWAY Aston Villa
1.21 xG 1.19
24% Ball Possession 76%
9 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 9
128 Passes 514
72% Pass Accuracy 88%
25 Box Touches 43
11 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Brentford vs Aston Villa
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Brentford came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Aston Villa 1-0.

A gentle 42% lean on Aston Villa didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The one blemish: both teams to score (56%) never looked like landing.

By the numbers, Brentford had 24% of the ball to Aston Villa's 76%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 1.21 to 1.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aston Villa led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Brentford and 2.17 for Aston Villa.

Brentford vs Aston Villa Result & Final Score

Brentford 1-0 Aston Villa in the England - Premier League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Brentford vs Aston Villa Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Aston Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Brentford 34%, draw 24%, Aston Villa 42%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aston Villa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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