Ahlafors IF 2-1 IFK Kumla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.61
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
58%
-1.4pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.9pp
21%
Away Win
21%
-0.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.8pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ahlafors IF EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Kumla EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -3%
2.01/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.73
-11% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
419 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ahlafors IF
3W-2D-0L
AWAY IFK Kumla
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 1
5 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 4
08.09.2024 IFK Kumla 1-1 HT 1-0 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ4
09.05.2024 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 0-0 HT 0-0 IFK Kumla İSÇ4
16.10.2022 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 2-0 HT 2-0 IFK Kumla İSÇ4
23.10.2021 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 2-0 HT 1-0 IFK Kumla İSÇ4
12.06.2021 IFK Kumla 0-2 HT 0-1 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Ahlafors IF vs IFK Kumla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ahlafors IF edged past IFK Kumla 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ahlafors IF as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ahlafors IF had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Ahlafors IF and 0.20 for IFK Kumla.

What was the final score of Ahlafors IF vs IFK Kumla?

Ahlafors IF 2-1 IFK Kumla in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ahlafors IF vs IFK Kumla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ahlafors IF win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Ahlafors IF 56%, draw 23%, IFK Kumla 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ahlafors IF), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ahlafors IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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