IFK Kumla 1-1 Ahlafors IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.39
No
39%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-4.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.7pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-6.7pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Kumla EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ahlafors IF EU Bookmakers 43%
+13% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.99/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/2.32
+18% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -32%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
299 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Kumla
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Ahlafors IF
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
36% Ball Possession 64%
1 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 10
09.05.2024 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 0-0 HT 0-0 IFK Kumla İSÇ4
16.10.2022 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 2-0 HT 2-0 IFK Kumla İSÇ4
23.10.2021 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 2-0 HT 1-0 IFK Kumla İSÇ4
12.06.2021 IFK Kumla 0-2 HT 0-1 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IFK Kumla vs Ahlafors IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Kumla and Ahlafors IF couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ahlafors IF led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for IFK Kumla and 1.50 for Ahlafors IF.

What was the final score of IFK Kumla vs Ahlafors IF?

IFK Kumla 1-1 Ahlafors IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Kumla vs Ahlafors IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Kumla win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split IFK Kumla 39%, draw 26%, Ahlafors IF 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IFK Kumla), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IFK Kumla) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ4 More Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland
8 Sep 2024
14:00 Franke vs Hudiksvalls FF Analysis →
14:00 Herrestads vs BK Forward Analysis →
14:00 Umea FC Akademi vs Algarna Analysis →
15:00 IK Gauthiod vs Vanersborgs IF Analysis →
15:00 Lidköpings FK vs Stenungsund Analysis →
15:00 Husqvarna FF vs Vastra Frolunda IF Analysis →