IK Gauthiod 2-3 Vanersborgs IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.5
No
41%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+3.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
62%
-3.7pp
41%
BTTS No
38%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Gauthiod EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Vanersborgs IF EU Bookmakers 43%
-8% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.30/2.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.00
-24% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +58%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
234 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Gauthiod
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Vanersborgs IF
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
12.05.2024 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF 0-3 HT 0-1 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod İSÇ4
04.09.2020 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF 0-0 HT 0-0 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IK Gauthiod vs Vanersborgs IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vanersborgs IF nicked a narrow win over IK Gauthiod 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Vanersborgs IF made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, IK Gauthiod had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for IK Gauthiod and 0.00 for Vanersborgs IF.

What was the final score of IK Gauthiod vs Vanersborgs IF?

IK Gauthiod 2-3 Vanersborgs IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Gauthiod vs Vanersborgs IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a IK Gauthiod win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split IK Gauthiod 39%, draw 25%, Vanersborgs IF 37%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IK Gauthiod) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IK Gauthiod) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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