Vanersborgs IF 0-3 IK Gauthiod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
32%
4.08
Away
16%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.38
Over 2.5
46%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
12%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-7.5pp
32%
Draw
21%
+10.6pp
17%
Away Win
20%
-3.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
38%
+15.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
62%
-15.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.6pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vanersborgs IF EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Gauthiod EU Bookmakers 23%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.54
-56% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +32%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
407 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vanersborgs IF
0W-1D-0L
AWAY IK Gauthiod
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
04.09.2020 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF 0-0 HT 0-0 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Vanersborgs IF vs IK Gauthiod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Gauthiod ran out comfortable winners over Vanersborgs IF 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Vanersborgs IF at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of Vanersborgs IF vs IK Gauthiod?

Vanersborgs IF 0-3 IK Gauthiod in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vanersborgs IF vs IK Gauthiod?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vanersborgs IF win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Vanersborgs IF 52%, draw 32%, IK Gauthiod 17%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vanersborgs IF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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