Herrestads 1-1 BK Forward — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
21%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.29
Over 2.5
48%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.56
No
52%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.8pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.4pp
21%
Away Win
23%
-1.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
40%
+12.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
60%
-12.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.3pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Herrestads EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY BK Forward EU Bookmakers 26%
+13% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.27/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.95
+8% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
415 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Herrestads
1W-1D-1L
AWAY BK Forward
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 BK Forward BK Forward 0-1 HT 0-1 Herrestads Herrestads İSÇ4
24.09.2023 BK Forward BK Forward 2-1 HT 2-0 Herrestads Herrestads İSÇ4
03.06.2023 Herrestads Herrestads 1-1 HT 1-0 BK Forward BK Forward İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Herrestads
1-1
AWAY BK Forward
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Herrestads vs BK Forward
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Herrestads and BK Forward shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Herrestads at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Herrestads had 49% of the ball to BK Forward's 51%, shots finished 12-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Herrestads and 1.00 for BK Forward.

What was the final score of Herrestads vs BK Forward?

Herrestads 1-1 BK Forward in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Herrestads vs BK Forward?

Before kick-off our model rated a Herrestads win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Herrestads 50%, draw 29%, BK Forward 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Herrestads), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Herrestads) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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