Lidköpings FK 3-1 Stenungsund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.6
No
38%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+3.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.7pp
62%
BTTS Yes
58%
+3.5pp
38%
BTTS No
42%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lidköpings FK EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Stenungsund EU Bookmakers 36%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.48/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.57
-17% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
394 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lidköpings FK
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Stenungsund
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2024 Stenungsund Stenungsund 0-0 HT 0-0 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK İSÇ4
01.10.2023 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK 2-2 HT 2-1 Stenungsund Stenungsund İSÇ4
26.05.2023 Stenungsund Stenungsund 2-1 HT 1-1 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK İSÇ4
08.04.2022 Stenungsund Stenungsund 1-0 HT 1-0 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK İSÇ4
06.11.2021 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK 4-0 HT 1-0 Stenungsund Stenungsund İSÇ4
29.08.2021 Stenungsund Stenungsund 4-3 HT 1-1 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Lidköpings FK vs Stenungsund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lidköpings FK saw off Stenungsund 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Lidköpings FK found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (62%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stenungsund led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lidköpings FK and 1.50 for Stenungsund.

What was the final score of Lidköpings FK vs Stenungsund?

Lidköpings FK 3-1 Stenungsund in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lidköpings FK vs Stenungsund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lidköpings FK win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Lidköpings FK 37%, draw 27%, Stenungsund 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lidköpings FK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lidköpings FK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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