Umea FC Akademi 1-1 Algarna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.53
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
18%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
26%
4.0
Over 2.5
74%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.33
No
37%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
37%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
18%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
61%
+2.3pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.0pp
18%
Away Win
20%
-1.3pp
26%
Under 2.5
22%
+4.9pp
74%
Over 2.5
78%
-4.9pp
63%
BTTS Yes
71%
-8.2pp
37%
BTTS No
29%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umea FC Akademi EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Algarna EU Bookmakers 23%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.66/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/2.74
-28% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -27%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
471 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Umea FC Akademi
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Algarna
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
04.05.2024 Algarna Algarna 3-3 HT 2-2 Umea FC Akademi İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Umea FC Akademi vs Algarna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Umea FC Akademi and Algarna couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Umea FC Akademi carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (63%) landed while over 2.5 goals (74%) missed.

What was the final score of Umea FC Akademi vs Algarna?

Umea FC Akademi 1-1 Algarna in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Umea FC Akademi vs Algarna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Umea FC Akademi win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Umea FC Akademi 63%, draw 19%, Algarna 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Umea FC Akademi), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Umea FC Akademi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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