Algarna 3-3 Umea FC Akademi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
30%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.38
Over 2.5
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.49
No
48%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
33%
+11.2pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.1pp
30%
Away Win
45%
-15.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.4pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Algarna EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Umea FC Akademi EU Bookmakers 49%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
2.01/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/0.37
+18% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Algarna vs Umea FC Akademi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Algarna and Umea FC Akademi shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Algarna at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Algarna vs Umea FC Akademi?

Algarna 3-3 Umea FC Akademi in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Algarna vs Umea FC Akademi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Algarna win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Algarna 45%, draw 26%, Umea FC Akademi 30%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Algarna) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Algarna) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ4 More Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland
4 May 2024
13:30 FC Gute vs Falu BS Analysis →
14:00 Kiruna FF vs Team TG FF Analysis →
14:00 IK Tord vs Vastra Frolunda IF Analysis →
14:00 Stenungsund vs IFK Skövde Analysis →
14:00 Frösö vs IFK Lulea Analysis →
14:00 IF Sylvia vs Nacka Iliria Analysis →