Empoli vs Padova Calcio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Empoli v Padova Calcio — Team-Based Signals
Empoli vs Padova Calcio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Empoli
nan
3-1
HT 0-1
Padova Calcio
nan
1-1
HT 1-1
Padova Calcio
İTB
2-0
HT 1-0
Empoli
İTB
1-1
HT 1-1
Empoli
İTB
2-4
HT 1-2
Padova Calcio
İTB
Empoli 3-1 Padova Calcio — Actual Match Statistics
Empoli saw off Padova Calcio 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Empoli as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, Empoli had 52% of the ball to Padova Calcio's 48%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.64 to 0.61.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Empoli and 1.50 for Padova Calcio.
What was the final score of Empoli vs Padova Calcio?
Empoli 3-1 Padova Calcio in the Italy - Serie B on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Empoli vs Padova Calcio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Empoli win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Empoli 50%, draw 24%, Padova Calcio 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Empoli), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.