Palermo vs Reggiana Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Palermo v Reggiana — Team-Based Signals
Palermo vs Reggiana Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-1
Palermo
İTB
3-2
HT 2-0
Reggiana
İTK
Palermo 2-1 Reggiana — Actual Match Statistics
Palermo squeezed past Reggiana 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Palermo as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Palermo had 50% of the ball to Reggiana's 50%, shots finished 25-10, expected goals 2.43 to 0.28 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Palermo's control.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Palermo had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Palermo and 1.40 for Reggiana.
What was the final score of Palermo vs Reggiana?
Palermo 2-1 Reggiana in the Italy - Serie B on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Palermo vs Reggiana?
Before kick-off our model rated a Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Palermo 55%, draw 22%, Reggiana 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palermo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.