Reggiana 2-1 Palermo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.68
6+ Goals
9%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.67
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
12.35
X/1
14%
5.42
X/2
7%
6.34
X/X
17%
3.53
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
19%
4.71
2/X
8%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-2.8pp
33%
Draw
32%
+0.6pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.6pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reggiana EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Palermo EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -14%
1.08/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.36
-26% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -29%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
18.6 Crosses 19.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reggiana
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Palermo
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
0.82 xG 2.30
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
323 Passes 370
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
26.10.2024 Palermo Palermo 2-0 HT 2-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
27.04.2024 Palermo Palermo 1-2 HT 1-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
29.08.2023 Reggiana Reggiana 1-3 HT 0-1 Palermo Palermo İTB
31.07.2022 Palermo Palermo 3-2 HT 2-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reggiana
2-1
AWAY Palermo
0.41 xG 0.97
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 1
214 Passes 295
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 27
6 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Reggiana vs Palermo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reggiana edged past Palermo 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 33% / 32%) promised a tight game; Reggiana found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Reggiana had 44% of the ball to Palermo's 56%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.41 to 0.97 — on chances, Palermo could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Palermo led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Reggiana and 2.25 for Palermo.

What was the final score of Reggiana vs Palermo?

Reggiana 2-1 Palermo in the Italy - Serie B on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reggiana vs Palermo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Reggiana win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Reggiana 35%, draw 33%, Palermo 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Reggiana) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Reggiana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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