Cremonese 2-2 Modena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.59
Over 2.5
47%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.4
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.62
6+ Goals
10%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.87
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
11%
4.56
X/2
9%
7.45
X/X
10%
3.82
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
15%
6.15
2/X
8%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.7pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.0pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cremonese EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Modena EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.35/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.39
-10% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
22.6 Crosses 16.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cremonese
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Modena
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.79 xG 1.36
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
476 Passes 278
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.10.2024 Modena Modena 2-2 HT 2-1 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
03.03.2024 Modena Modena 0-1 HT 0-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
23.12.2023 Cremonese Cremonese 4-0 HT 4-0 Modena Modena İTB
20.10.2022 Cremonese Cremonese 4-2 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTK
17.03.2006 Cremonese Cremonese 0-1 HT 0-1 Modena Modena İTB
25.10.2005 Modena Modena 3-0 HT 1-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cremonese
2-2
AWAY Modena
1.79 xG 2.21
64% Ball Possession 36%
21 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
456 Passes 215
87% Pass Accuracy 71%
35 Box Touches 22
34 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cremonese vs Modena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cremonese and Modena couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Cremonese at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Cremonese had 64% of the ball to Modena's 36%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 1.79 to 2.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cremonese had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Cremonese and 1.33 for Modena.

What was the final score of Cremonese vs Modena?

Cremonese 2-2 Modena in the Italy - Serie B on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cremonese vs Modena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cremonese win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cremonese 42%, draw 27%, Modena 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cremonese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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