Brescia 2-3 Catanzaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
37%
2.94
Away
26%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.71
Over 2.5
38%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.79
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.9
6+ Goals
9%
17.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.51
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
9%
12.1
X/1
12%
5.45
X/2
8%
6.37
X/X
20%
3.98
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
12%
4.49
2/X
9%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.4pp
37%
Draw
30%
+7.1pp
26%
Away Win
31%
-4.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
55%
+7.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
45%
-7.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.8pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brescia EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -2%
1.28/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.55
+0% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
268 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
22.2 Crosses 13.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brescia
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Catanzaro
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.61 xG 1.57
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
304 Passes 478
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 29
21 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2024 Catanzaro Catanzaro 2-1 HT 1-1 Brescia Brescia İTB
18.05.2024 Catanzaro Catanzaro 4-2 HT 1-1 Brescia Brescia İTB
16.03.2024 Brescia Brescia 1-1 HT 0-1 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
23.12.2023 Catanzaro Catanzaro 2-3 HT 2-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
18.03.2006 Brescia Brescia 2-0 HT 0-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
25.10.2005 Catanzaro Catanzaro 1-2 HT 1-1 Brescia Brescia İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brescia
2-3
AWAY Catanzaro
1.91 xG 1.88
36% Ball Possession 64%
17 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
239 Passes 497
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 17
29 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brescia vs Catanzaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catanzaro squeezed past Brescia 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 37% / 26% — and on the day Catanzaro made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brescia had 36% of the ball to Catanzaro's 64%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.91 to 1.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brescia had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Brescia and 1.67 for Catanzaro.

What was the final score of Brescia vs Catanzaro?

Brescia 2-3 Catanzaro in the Italy - Serie B on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brescia vs Catanzaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brescia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Brescia 37%, draw 37%, Catanzaro 26%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/37/26) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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