Pisa vs Salernitana Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pisa v Salernitana — Team-Based Signals
Pisa vs Salernitana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-0
Salernitana
İTB
4-1
HT 1-0
Pisa
İTB
1-1
HT 1-0
Pisa
İTB
2-1
HT 2-0
Salernitana
İTB
0-1
HT 0-0
Salernitana
İTB
Pisa 1-0 Salernitana — Actual Match Statistics
Pisa nicked a narrow win over Salernitana 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pisa as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Pisa had 40% of the ball to Salernitana's 60%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.75 to 0.40 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Pisa's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pisa and 1.83 for Salernitana.
What was the final score of Pisa vs Salernitana?
Pisa 1-0 Salernitana in the Italy - Serie B on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pisa vs Salernitana?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pisa win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Pisa 47%, draw 29%, Salernitana 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pisa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.