Throttur Reykjavik 2-1 UMF Selfoss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.57
Draw
16%
4.19
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
13%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
59%
+0.7pp
17%
Draw
20%
-3.8pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.2pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Throttur Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY UMF Selfoss EU Bookmakers 24%
-10% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
2.73/2.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.65
+9% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Throttur Reykjavik
5W-0D-1L
AWAY UMF Selfoss
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
14.06.2025 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 0-2 HT 0-1 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL1
12.08.2023 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 4-3 HT 2-1 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss İZL1
01.06.2023 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 2-1 HT 2-0 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL1
29.07.2021 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 0-3 HT 0-1 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL1
21.05.2021 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 3-1 HT 1-0 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss İZL1
19.09.2015 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 1-0 HT 1-0 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss İZL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Throttur Reykjavik
2-1
AWAY UMF Selfoss
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Throttur Reykjavik vs UMF Selfoss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Throttur Reykjavik nicked a narrow win over UMF Selfoss 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Throttur Reykjavik as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Throttur Reykjavik had 50% of the ball to UMF Selfoss's 50%, shots finished 18-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Throttur Reykjavik had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Throttur Reykjavik and 1.00 for UMF Selfoss.

What was the final score of Throttur Reykjavik vs UMF Selfoss?

Throttur Reykjavik 2-1 UMF Selfoss in the Iceland - 1st Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Throttur Reykjavik vs UMF Selfoss?

Before kick-off our model rated a Throttur Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Throttur Reykjavik 60%, draw 17%, UMF Selfoss 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Throttur Reykjavik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Throttur Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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