Thor Akureyri 3-1 Njardvik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.43
No
39%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.8pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-0.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
66%
-4.6pp
39%
BTTS No
34%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thor Akureyri EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Njardvik EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.72/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.31/1.86
-1% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
371 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thor Akureyri
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Njardvik
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
14.06.2025 Njardvik Njardvik 3-1 HT 0-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
10.08.2024 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 2-2 HT 0-0 Njardvik Njardvik İZL1
31.05.2024 Njardvik Njardvik 5-1 HT 2-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
10.02.2024 Njardvik Njardvik 1-5 HT 0-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZLK
25.08.2023 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 0-3 HT 0-2 Njardvik Njardvik İZL1
24.06.2023 Njardvik Njardvik 2-2 HT 1-1 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
POST-MATCH Thor Akureyri vs Njardvik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thor Akureyri saw off Njardvik 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Thor Akureyri as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (61%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Njardvik led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Thor Akureyri and 2.67 for Njardvik.

What was the final score of Thor Akureyri vs Njardvik?

Thor Akureyri 3-1 Njardvik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thor Akureyri vs Njardvik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thor Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Thor Akureyri 41%, draw 27%, Njardvik 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thor Akureyri), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Thor Akureyri) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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