San Lorenzo 1-0 Instituto Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
35%
2.83
Away
21%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
73%
1.36
Over
27%
2.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.56
No
61%
1.45
Total Goals
0-1
47%
1.76
2-3
42%
1.85
4-5
10%
7.46
6+
1%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.08
1/2
1%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.05
X/1
19%
4.19
X/2
10%
7.07
X/X
26%
3.1
2/1
2%
34.5
2/2
10%
6.69
2/X
4%
17.15
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME San Lorenzo The Market 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Instituto Cordoba The Market 27%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.07 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.78
0.74 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.25
Weak Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Weak
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 73%
21 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
24 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Lorenzo
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Instituto Cordoba
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.65 xG 1.10
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
185 Passes 242
69% Pass Accuracy 71%
12 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2025 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 0-1 HT 0-1 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
06.10.2024 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 2-0 HT 1-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
20.05.2023 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 2-0 HT 0-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
05.03.2006 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1-1 HT 0-1 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
26.09.2005 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 2-0 HT 2-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
20.10.2004 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 2-0 HT 2-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Lorenzo
1 - 0
AWAY Instituto Cordoba
1.70 xG 0.32
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 4
220 Passes 307
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW San Lorenzo vs Instituto Cordoba
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

San Lorenzo found just enough to beat Instituto Cordoba 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

True to our pre-match read, our model had San Lorenzo as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Instituto Cordoba saw more of the ball, 55% to 45%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.70 to 0.32 — on chances created, San Lorenzo won this by more than the scoreboard admits.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Lorenzo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for San Lorenzo against 0.83 for Instituto Cordoba.

San Lorenzo vs Instituto Cordoba Result & Final Score

San Lorenzo 1 - 0 Instituto Cordoba in the Argentina - Premier League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

San Lorenzo vs Instituto Cordoba Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a San Lorenzo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split San Lorenzo 44%, draw 35%, Instituto Cordoba 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Lorenzo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (San Lorenzo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJ More Argentina - Premier League
23 Aug 2025
02:00 Atletico Tigre vs Independiente Rivadavia Analysis →
23:30 Rosario Central vs Newells Old Boys Analysis →