Athletic Club 0-4 Chapecoense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 23 Aug 2025

Athletic Club
0-4 HT 0-0
Chapecoense
📅23/08/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2025

Athletic Club vs Chapecoense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+0.7pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.3pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.0pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Athletic Club v Chapecoense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Club EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Chapecoense EU Bookmakers 31%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.89/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.28
+34% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
306 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
25.1 Crosses 14.5
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.3

Athletic Club vs Chapecoense Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Club
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Chapecoense
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.12 xG 0.82
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
357 Passes 306
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 17
30 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.04.2025 Chapecoense Chapecoense 1-0 HT 0-0 Athletic Club BR2

Athletic Club 0-4 Chapecoense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Club
0-4
AWAY Chapecoense
0.87 xG 1.99
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
288 Passes 312
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Athletic Club vs Chapecoense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chapecoense ran out comfortable winners over Athletic Club 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Athletic Club at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Athletic Club had 49% of the ball to Chapecoense's 51%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 0.87 to 1.99.

What was the final score of Athletic Club vs Chapecoense?

Athletic Club 0-4 Chapecoense in the Brazil - Serie B on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Club vs Chapecoense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Club win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Athletic Club 45%, draw 25%, Chapecoense 30%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Athletic Club), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Athletic Club) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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