Criciuma vs Novorizontino Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Criciuma v Novorizontino — Team-Based Signals
Criciuma vs Novorizontino Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Criciuma
BR2
0-1
HT 0-0
Novorizontino
BR2
3-1
HT 1-1
Criciuma
BR2
1-1
HT 0-0
Novorizontino
BR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Criciuma
BRE3
Criciuma 2-0 Novorizontino — Actual Match Statistics
Criciuma got the better of Novorizontino 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Criciuma as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.
On the day, Criciuma had 54% of the ball to Novorizontino's 46%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 2.68 to 0.14.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Novorizontino led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Criciuma and 1.50 for Novorizontino.
What was the final score of Criciuma vs Novorizontino?
Criciuma 2-0 Novorizontino in the Brazil - Serie B on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Criciuma vs Novorizontino?
Before kick-off our model rated a Criciuma win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Criciuma 46%, draw 28%, Novorizontino 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Criciuma), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.