Akademisk BK 2-3 Thisted — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.18
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
2.75
6+ Goals
12%
7.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
61%
-4.6pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.3pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.7pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Akademisk BK EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Thisted EU Bookmakers 21%
-17% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
1.71/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.92
-14% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
347 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Akademisk BK
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Thisted
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.11.2024 Thisted Thisted 2-4 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
07.09.2024 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 1-1 HT 1-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
28.10.2023 Thisted Thisted 0-1 HT 0-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
30.09.2023 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 2-1 HT 1-1 Thisted Thisted DAN2
20.11.2022 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 2-1 HT 0-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
15.10.2022 Thisted Thisted 1-2 HT 1-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Akademisk BK
2-3
AWAY Thisted
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Akademisk BK vs Thisted
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thisted nicked a narrow win over Akademisk BK 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Akademisk BK carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Akademisk BK had 49% of the ball to Thisted's 51%, shots finished 10-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Akademisk BK had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Akademisk BK and 1.00 for Thisted.

What was the final score of Akademisk BK vs Thisted?

Akademisk BK 2-3 Thisted in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Akademisk BK vs Thisted?

Before kick-off our model rated a Akademisk BK win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Akademisk BK 57%, draw 23%, Thisted 21%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Akademisk BK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Akademisk BK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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DAN2 More Denmark - 2nd Division
23 Aug 2025
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