Persebaya Surabaya 5-2 Bali United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.95
Over
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.64
No
44%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
46%
4-5
23%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Persebaya Surabaya The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Bali United The Market 32%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.58 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.49
1.03 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.54
Average Attack Strength Great
Strong Defense Strength Weak
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
317 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persebaya Surabaya
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bali United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
345 Passes 341
2 Yellow Cards 4
28.12.2024 Bali United Bali United 2-0 HT 0-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
24.04.2024 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 0-2 HT 0-1 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
02.09.2022 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 0-1 HT 0-1 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
25.03.2022 Bali United Bali United 0-3 HT 0-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
05.01.2022 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 3-1 HT 1-1 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
24.09.2019 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 1-1 HT 1-0 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Persebaya Surabaya
5 - 2
AWAY Bali United
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Persebaya Surabaya vs Bali United
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Persebaya Surabaya cruised past Bali United 5-2. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Persebaya Surabaya as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — both teams to score (56%) came home.

Under the surface, Bali United saw more of the ball, 55% to 45%, shots finished 12-15.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bali United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Persebaya Surabaya against 1.17 for Bali United.

Persebaya Surabaya vs Bali United Result & Final Score

Persebaya Surabaya 5 - 2 Bali United in the Indonesia League 1 on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Persebaya Surabaya vs Bali United Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Persebaya Surabaya win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Persebaya Surabaya 44%, draw 27%, Bali United 29%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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