EPS 4-3 PKKU — Result, Statistics & Match Review — FİN3, 23 Aug 2025

EPS
4-3 HT 2-0
PKKU
📅23/08/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
18%
3.64
Away
44%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.59
Over 2.5
50%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.41
No
50%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
5.38
2-3 Goals
39%
1.97
4-5 Goals
23%
2.47
6+ Goals
12%
5.56
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.38 — our 26% vs market 12.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.4pp
18%
Draw
24%
-6.1pp
44%
Away Win
42%
+1.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
35%
+15.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
65%
-15.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
67%
-16.8pp
50%
BTTS No
33%
+16.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EPS EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY PKKU EU Bookmakers 46%
+54% / +54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +47% / +47%
1.33/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/1.00
-25% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +87%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME EPS
0W-2D-3L
AWAY PKKU
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
14.06.2025 PKKU PKKU 4-1 HT 2-0 EPS EPS FİN3
22.09.2024 EPS EPS 4-5 HT 2-4 PKKU PKKU FINY
10.08.2024 PKKU PKKU 1-1 HT 1-1 EPS EPS FİN3
26.05.2024 EPS EPS 2-2 HT 1-0 PKKU PKKU FİN2
17.10.2020 EPS EPS 0-3 HT 0-2 PKKU PKKU FİNKAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME EPS
4-3
AWAY PKKU
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 9
POST-MATCH EPS vs PKKU
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

EPS edged past PKKU 4-3. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was PKKU at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, EPS had 50% of the ball to PKKU's 50%, shots finished 14-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, PKKU led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for EPS and 3.00 for PKKU.

What was the final score of EPS vs PKKU?

EPS 4-3 PKKU in the FİN3 on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EPS vs PKKU?

Before kick-off our model rated an PKKU win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split EPS 38%, draw 18%, PKKU 44%. The final score 4-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (PKKU)
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