Boulogne 0-1 Saint-Etienne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.13
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
49%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.03
2-3 Goals
45%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
3.55
6+ Goals
9%
14.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 29% vs market 26.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
7.86
1/2
6%
23.65
1/X
7%
16.2
X/1
11%
9.5
X/2
15%
4.07
X/X
11%
4.89
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
29%
2.17
2/X
4%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
21%
+6.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
49%
Away Win
55%
-5.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boulogne EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Saint-Etienne EU Bookmakers 59%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.76/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.99
+68% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.3
Crosses 16.6
Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boulogne
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Saint-Etienne
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
03.03.2015 Boulogne Boulogne 1-1 HT 0-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FRK
05.05.2010 Boulogne Boulogne 0-1 HT 0-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
22.08.2009 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 0-1 HT 0-1 Boulogne Boulogne FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boulogne
0-1
AWAY Saint-Etienne
33% Ball Possession 67%
2 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Boulogne vs Saint-Etienne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saint-Etienne edged past Boulogne 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Saint-Etienne as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Boulogne had 33% of the ball to Saint-Etienne's 67%, shots finished 2-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Boulogne and 0.67 for Saint-Etienne.

What was the final score of Boulogne vs Saint-Etienne?

Boulogne 0-1 Saint-Etienne in the France - Ligue 2 on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boulogne vs Saint-Etienne?

Before kick-off our model rated an Saint-Etienne win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Boulogne 28%, draw 23%, Saint-Etienne 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saint-Etienne), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Saint-Etienne) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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