Guingamp 0-4 Red Star FC 93 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.03
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.56
6+ Goals
9%
14.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 30% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.99
1/2
7%
33.5
1/X
12%
13.1
X/1
11%
4.82
X/2
7%
6.61
X/X
14%
4.55
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
15%
4.86
2/X
4%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.8pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.4pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guingamp EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Red Star FC 93 EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -21%
1.35/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.15
+8% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
20.9 Crosses 18.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guingamp
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Red Star FC 93
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
1.31 xG 2.23
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 3
391 Passes 372
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 26
24 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2025 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 3-1 HT 1-1 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
30.08.2024 Guingamp Guingamp 3-4 HT 2-2 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guingamp
0-4
AWAY Red Star FC 93
0.97 xG 2.36
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 2
362 Passes 273
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 23
28 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Guingamp vs Red Star FC 93
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Red Star FC 93 ran out comfortable winners over Guingamp 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Guingamp at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Guingamp had 56% of the ball to Red Star FC 93's 44%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 0.97 to 2.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Red Star FC 93 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Guingamp and 3.50 for Red Star FC 93.

What was the final score of Guingamp vs Red Star FC 93?

Guingamp 0-4 Red Star FC 93 in the France - Ligue 2 on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guingamp vs Red Star FC 93?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Guingamp 41%, draw 30%, Red Star FC 93 29%. The final score 0-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Guingamp) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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