Troyes vs Montpellier Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Troyes v Montpellier — Team-Based Signals
Troyes vs Montpellier Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Montpellier
FR1
3-2
HT 2-2
Troyes
FR1
0-1
HT 0-0
Troyes
FR1
1-1
HT 1-0
Montpellier
FR1
1-1
HT 0-1
Troyes
FR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Montpellier
FR1
Troyes 1-0 Montpellier — Actual Match Statistics
Troyes nicked a narrow win over Montpellier 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Troyes as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Troyes had 60% of the ball to Montpellier's 40%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.48 to 0.57.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montpellier led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Troyes and 1.17 for Montpellier.
What was the final score of Troyes vs Montpellier?
Troyes 1-0 Montpellier in the France - Ligue 2 on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Troyes vs Montpellier?
Before kick-off our model rated a Troyes win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Troyes 42%, draw 29%, Montpellier 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Troyes), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.