Red Star FC 93 3-1 Guingamp — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.78
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.91
6+ Goals
11%
18.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.09
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
11%
5.79
X/2
13%
5.4
X/X
14%
4.24
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
18%
3.69
2/X
8%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Red Star FC 93 EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Guingamp EU Bookmakers 40%
-8% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +13%
1.19/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.16
-3% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 78%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
20.5 Crosses 17.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Red Star FC 93
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Guingamp
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
2.21 xG 1.05
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
305 Passes 472
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
29 Box Touches 33
14 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 0
30.08.2024 Guingamp Guingamp 3-4 HT 2-2 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Red Star FC 93
3-1
AWAY Guingamp
2.26 xG 1.57
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
439 Passes 310
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Red Star FC 93 vs Guingamp
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Red Star FC 93 got the better of Guingamp 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Red Star FC 93 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Red Star FC 93 had 58% of the ball to Guingamp's 42%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 2.26 to 1.57.

What was the final score of Red Star FC 93 vs Guingamp?

Red Star FC 93 3-1 Guingamp in the France - Ligue 2 on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Red Star FC 93 vs Guingamp?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Red Star FC 93 35%, draw 27%, Guingamp 38%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Guingamp) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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