Amiens SC 1-2 Metz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 1 Mar 2025

Amiens SC
1-2 HT 1-0
Metz
📅01/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2024/2025

Amiens SC vs Metz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.71
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
56%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.99
No
61%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.92
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.73
6+ Goals
9%
16.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 33% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
9.33
1/2
7%
24.7
1/X
7%
17.95
X/1
7%
10.75
X/2
13%
3.9
X/X
13%
5.0
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
36%
2.02
2/X
4%
15.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
18%
+1.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
56%
Away Win
58%
-2.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
46%
-7.5pp
61%
BTTS No
54%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Amiens SC v Metz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amiens SC EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Metz EU Bookmakers 62%
+11% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.99/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/0.89
-33% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +40%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
226 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 79%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
16.4 Crosses 15.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.2

Amiens SC vs Metz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amiens SC
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Metz
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.96 xG 1.62
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
384 Passes 352
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.10.2024 Metz Metz 3-2 HT 3-1 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
29.07.2023 Amiens SC Amiens SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Metz Metz HAZ
06.02.2023 Amiens SC Amiens SC 0-2 HT 0-0 Metz Metz FR2
30.07.2022 Metz Metz 3-0 HT 2-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
10.02.2021 Amiens SC Amiens SC 1-2 HT 0-1 Metz Metz FRK
29.02.2020 Amiens SC Amiens SC 0-1 HT 0-1 Metz Metz FR1

Amiens SC 1-2 Metz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amiens SC
1-2
AWAY Metz
1.09 xG 1.29
32% Ball Possession 68%
13 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
202 Passes 509
76% Pass Accuracy 89%
19 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 30
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Amiens SC vs Metz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metz nicked a narrow win over Amiens SC 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Metz as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Amiens SC had 32% of the ball to Metz's 68%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 1.09 to 1.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Metz led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Amiens SC and 1.83 for Metz.

What was the final score of Amiens SC vs Metz?

Amiens SC 1-2 Metz in the France - Ligue 2 on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amiens SC vs Metz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Metz win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Amiens SC 20%, draw 24%, Metz 56%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Metz) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Metz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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