Lorient 3-1 Rodez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 1 Mar 2025

Lorient
3-1 HT 1-1
Rodez
📅01/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2025/2026

Lorient vs Rodez Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.74
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.08
6+ Goals
11%
10.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.74 — our 27% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.04
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.55
X/1
23%
4.17
X/2
7%
10.3
X/X
10%
5.64
2/1
8%
21.6
2/2
13%
8.09
2/X
8%
16.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-6.7pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.1pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lorient v Rodez — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lorient EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Rodez EU Bookmakers 22%
+5% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -12%
2.16/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.45
+41% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -9%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
421 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
21.9 Crosses 20.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9

Lorient vs Rodez Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lorient
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Rodez
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.19 xG 1.26
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
374 Passes 309
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
25.10.2024 Rodez Rodez 3-3 HT 0-1 Lorient Lorient FR2
21.02.2020 Rodez Rodez 0-1 HT 0-1 Lorient Lorient FR2
23.09.2019 Lorient Lorient 2-1 HT 0-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
POST-MATCH Lorient vs Rodez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lorient got the better of Rodez 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lorient as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lorient had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lorient and 1.33 for Rodez.

What was the final score of Lorient vs Rodez?

Lorient 3-1 Rodez in the France - Ligue 2 on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lorient vs Rodez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lorient win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Lorient 50%, draw 25%, Rodez 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lorient) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lorient) ✗ Under 2.5
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