Metz vs Amiens SC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Metz v Amiens SC — Team-Based Signals
Metz vs Amiens SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Metz
HAZ
0-2
HT 0-0
Metz
FR2
3-0
HT 2-0
Amiens SC
FR2
1-2
HT 0-1
Metz
FRK
0-1
HT 0-1
Metz
FR1
1-2
HT 0-1
Amiens SC
FR1
Metz 3-2 Amiens SC — Actual Match Statistics
Metz edged past Amiens SC 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Metz as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Metz had 57% of the ball to Amiens SC's 43%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 2.04 to 0.88.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Metz had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Metz and 0.50 for Amiens SC.
What was the final score of Metz vs Amiens SC?
Metz 3-2 Amiens SC in the France - Ligue 2 on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Metz vs Amiens SC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Metz win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Metz 50%, draw 29%, Amiens SC 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Metz) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.